Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:00
13.9424.2%
X3.4927.3%
21.9748.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
DWLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Lille
WDLDLLWDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
0.90
1.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.00
Against
4.50
10.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.40goals per match
Lille conceded1.10
Matchup

Lille attack

0.90goals per match
Nantes conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.20
1.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.50
10.70
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.50
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
3%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches337
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%25.5%+1.3 pp
Draw27.3%23.7%-3.6 pp
Away48.4%50.7%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

0.991.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-211.3%
1-010.7%
1-210.4%
0-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.44
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=337.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.5%17.0%–33.9% CI
Draw FT38.8%29.7%–48.7% CI
Away FT36.7%27.9%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away56.1%