Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:00
13.7325.6%
X4.1822.8%
21.8551.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
DDDDLWDLWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Monaco
LWWDWWWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.40
1.30
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.10
1.60
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.80
9.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
4.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.30goals per match
Monaco conceded1.80
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.40goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.80
9.80
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
28.40
Match total
24.90

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
6.20
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%40.0%+14.4 pp
Draw22.8%25.0%+2.2 pp
Away51.6%35.0%-16.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

1.451.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.0%
1-215.0%
3-210.0%
0-010.0%
2-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.805.60
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away60.0%