Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:00
11.4366.4%
X4.9019.4%
26.7014.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WWDDDWWLDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lorient
DLLWWWDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
9.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.90goals per match
Lorient conceded2.00
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Marseille conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
9.60
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.20
Match total
25.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.80
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches204
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%66.2%-0.3 pp
Draw19.4%25.5%+6.1 pp
Away14.2%8.3%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.360.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.3%
1-19.8%
3-07.8%
2-07.4%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.46
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI
Draw FT50.0%35.5%–64.5% CI
Away FT4.8%1.3%–15.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.5%
Away26.2%