Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:00
15.2218.3%
X4.6520.5%
21.5661.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Clermont
LDLDDLWLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Lyon
LWLWWWWWLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
1.90
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
4.60
8.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Clermont attack

1.10goals per match
Lyon conceded1.80
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.90goals per match
Clermont conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.60
8.80
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.20
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.80
Match total
23.20

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.20
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.3%15.8%-2.5 pp
Draw20.5%21.1%+0.5 pp
Away61.2%63.2%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

0.952.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.8%
0-315.8%
1-110.5%
2-310.5%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.295.66
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.523.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away71.4%