Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 20:00
11.5561.7%
X4.1623.0%
26.2615.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nice
WWWWWLDLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Le Havre
DLLDDLLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nice attack
1.50goals per matchLe Havre conceded1.70Matchup
Le Havre attack
1.00goals per matchNice conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.30
Match total
26.70
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.30
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches306
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.7%61.1%-0.6 pp
Draw23.0%24.5%+1.5 pp
Away15.3%14.4%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS45.1%
Historical average
1.81–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.7%
1-113.1%
2-012.7%
2-17.8%
3-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.39–3.66
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=306.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.535.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.0%41.4%–60.5% CI
Draw FT29.4%21.4%–38.9% CI
Away FT19.6%13.1%–28.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away38.2%