Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-06 · 20:00
11.9149.9%
X3.7725.3%
23.8424.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
DWDWWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Lyon
LLWLWWWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.90
Against
4.50
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
2.20goals per matchLyon conceded1.80Matchup
Lyon attack
1.70goals per matchLille conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.50
9.30
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.50
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
28.10
Match total
22.90
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
6.80
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches422
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%52.8%+2.9 pp
Draw25.3%24.4%-0.9 pp
Away24.8%22.7%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
1.71–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
1-010.4%
2-110.2%
2-09.2%
1-26.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–4.50
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=422.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%31.6%–49.8% CI
Draw FT40.4%31.6%–49.8% CI
Away FT19.3%13.0%–27.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.3%
Away42.2%