Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-06 · 20:00
11.9149.9%
X3.7725.3%
23.8424.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
DWDWWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Lyon
LLWLWWWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.90
Against
4.50
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lille attack

2.20goals per match
Lyon conceded1.80
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.70goals per match
Lille conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.50
9.30
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.50
Match total
2.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
28.10
Match total
22.90

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
6.80
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches422
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%52.8%+2.9 pp
Draw25.3%24.4%-0.9 pp
Away24.8%22.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.711.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
1-010.4%
2-110.2%
2-09.2%
1-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.50
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=422.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%31.6%–49.8% CI
Draw FT40.4%31.6%–49.8% CI
Away FT19.3%13.0%–27.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away42.2%