Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 20:00
11.7454.9%
X3.7025.8%
24.9719.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WDWWDWWDWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Nantes
LLLDWWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.80
Against
5.50
6.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.70goals per match
Nantes conceded1.10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Brest conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.50
6.90
Match total
10.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
24.40
Match total
23.20

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.30
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches414
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%55.3%+0.4 pp
Draw25.8%26.1%+0.3 pp
Away19.2%18.6%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.680.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-113.0%
1-010.9%
2-010.9%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.993.80
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=414.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%34.1%–50.6% CI
Draw FT36.1%28.4%–44.5% CI
Away FT21.8%15.6%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.6%
Away44.4%