Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 18:00
13.4727.5%
X3.6526.2%
22.0646.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Metz
WLLLLLWLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Rennes
LDWWWDDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.80
Against
4.00
8.50
Total
7.60
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Metz attack
1.10goals per matchRennes conceded1.10Matchup
Rennes attack
1.30goals per matchMetz conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.00
8.50
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
25.40
Match total
27.50
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.60
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.5%25.9%-1.6 pp
Draw26.2%32.3%+6.1 pp
Away46.3%41.8%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS55.1%
Historical average
1.15–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.7%
0-012.0%
0-110.8%
1-29.5%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.51–5.59
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.6%13.5%–35.5% CI
Draw FT39.6%27.6%–53.1% CI
Away FT37.7%25.9%–51.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals26.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.8%
Away52.8%