Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 16:00
11.3172.9%
X5.9916.0%
28.6111.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monaco
WWLLDLDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Clermont
DLLWLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Against
7.70
11.20
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monaco attack
1.10goals per matchClermont conceded1.70Matchup
Clermont attack
0.60goals per matchMonaco conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.70
11.20
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
25.90
Match total
23.50
Shots
17.80N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.00
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.9%58.3%-14.6 pp
Draw16.0%25.0%+9.0 pp
Away11.1%16.7%+5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.555.6%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
2.33–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-211.1%
2-111.1%
4-011.1%
1-08.3%
0-05.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.81–3.83
Average total10.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.563.9%
Over 10.552.8%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away60.0%