Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 16:00
11.3172.9%
X5.9916.0%
28.6111.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WWLLDLDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Clermont
DLLWLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Against
7.70
11.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.10goals per match
Clermont conceded1.70
Matchup

Clermont attack

0.60goals per match
Monaco conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.70
11.20
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
25.90
Match total
23.50

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.00
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.9%58.3%-14.6 pp
Draw16.0%25.0%+9.0 pp
Away11.1%16.7%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.555.6%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.331.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-211.1%
2-111.1%
4-011.1%
1-08.3%
0-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.813.83
Average total10.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.563.9%
Over 10.552.8%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away60.0%