Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 14:00
12.4039.8%
X3.2229.7%
23.1430.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Le Havre
DLWWLLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Strasbourg
LDWDDLDWDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
9.10
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Le Havre attack
0.80goals per matchStrasbourg conceded1.30Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.20goals per matchLe Havre conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
9.10
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
23.90
Match total
26.90
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches903
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%39.8%-0.1 pp
Draw29.7%31.9%+2.2 pp
Away30.5%28.3%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.21–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-011.6%
1-011.4%
2-19.6%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–4.35
Average total9.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=903.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.525.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches338
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.5%25.8%–35.6% CI
Draw FT46.4%41.2%–51.8% CI
Away FT23.1%18.9%–27.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away43.5%