Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 20:00
11.4366.9%
X4.9519.3%
26.9313.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWLWLWLDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lorient
LDLLWWWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.90
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.50goals per match
Lorient conceded1.90
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Lens conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.90
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.80
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.10
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches233
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.9%68.7%+1.8 pp
Draw19.3%23.2%+3.9 pp
Away13.8%8.2%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.542.5%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.360.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.6%
2-09.9%
3-18.6%
1-18.2%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.54
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.9%37.9%–63.9% CI
Draw FT43.4%31.0%–56.7% CI
Away FT5.7%1.9%–15.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.3%
Away24.5%