Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 18:00
12.0846.0%
X3.8025.2%
23.3328.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
DDLLLWWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Montpellier
LLWLLLWWDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
6.90
10.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.20goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.60
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.00goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.90
10.60
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
27.50
Match total
23.90

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%42.7%-3.4 pp
Draw25.2%20.7%-4.5 pp
Away28.8%36.6%+7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS61.0%

Historical average

1.671.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-19.8%
1-08.5%
1-28.5%
2-27.3%
3-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.17
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away33.3%