Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 20:00
12.4638.7%
X3.4527.6%
22.8333.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
WWWDDDWWLD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lens
DWDLWWDWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.50
Against
3.90
8.90
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
1.90goals per matchLens conceded0.70Matchup
Lens attack
1.20goals per matchMarseille conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.90
8.90
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.60
Match total
26.30
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.40
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches371
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%38.5%-0.2 pp
Draw27.6%25.3%-2.3 pp
Away33.7%36.1%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.32–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-011.1%
1-210.8%
0-18.9%
2-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.45
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=371.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches114
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%28.6%–46.0% CI
Draw FT31.6%23.8%–40.6% CI
Away FT31.6%23.8%–40.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals46.5%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.6%
Away54.4%