Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 20:00
12.4638.7%
X3.4527.6%
22.8333.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WWWDDDWWLD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lens
DWDLWWDWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.50
Against
3.90
8.90
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.90goals per match
Lens conceded0.70
Matchup

Lens attack

1.20goals per match
Marseille conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.90
8.90
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.60
Match total
26.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.40
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches371
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%38.5%-0.2 pp
Draw27.6%25.3%-2.3 pp
Away33.7%36.1%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.321.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-011.1%
1-210.8%
0-18.9%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.45
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=371.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches114
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%28.6%–46.0% CI
Draw FT31.6%23.8%–40.6% CI
Away FT31.6%23.8%–40.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals46.5%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.6%
Away54.4%