Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 18:00
12.5737.2%
X3.7225.7%
22.5737.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
DLWWLWWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Monaco
DLWWDWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.20
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.40goals per match
Monaco conceded1.50
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.20goals per match
Lyon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.10
Match total
24.80

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.20
On target
5.50
11%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%42.5%+5.4 pp
Draw25.7%26.4%+0.8 pp
Away37.2%31.0%-6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.551.7%
BTTS73.6%

Historical average

1.941.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-211.5%
3-110.3%
2-16.9%
1-25.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.245.23
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away73.3%