Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
13.1230.5%
X3.2729.1%
22.3640.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
DDWWLLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Nice
DLLLDLLWDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.40
Against
4.60
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.20goals per match
Nice conceded1.20
Matchup

Nice attack

0.70goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.60
10.10
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.30
Match total
25.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches640
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%29.7%-0.8 pp
Draw29.1%25.0%-4.1 pp
Away40.4%45.3%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.091.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-111.7%
1-010.5%
1-29.7%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.12
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=640.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.9%23.1%–35.6% CI
Draw FT36.0%29.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT35.0%28.7%–41.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals16.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away53.8%