Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
13.1230.5%
X3.2729.1%
22.3640.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Strasbourg
DDWWLLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Nice
DLLLDLLWDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.40
Against
4.60
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.20goals per matchNice conceded1.20Matchup
Nice attack
0.70goals per matchStrasbourg conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.60
10.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.30
Match total
25.00
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches640
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%29.7%-0.8 pp
Draw29.1%25.0%-4.1 pp
Away40.4%45.3%+5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.09–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
0-111.7%
1-010.5%
1-29.7%
0-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.67–5.12
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=640.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.9%23.1%–35.6% CI
Draw FT36.0%29.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT35.0%28.7%–41.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.7%
Away53.8%