Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
12.6635.9%
X3.3628.4%
22.6735.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
DLLLDWLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Toulouse
LDLLWWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
2.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Against
6.20
8.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.30
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.20goals per match
Lorient conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.20
8.80
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.00
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
25.20
Match total
30.50

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches796
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%33.2%-2.7 pp
Draw28.4%27.4%-1.0 pp
Away35.7%39.4%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.211.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-111.1%
1-29.7%
1-08.8%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.69
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=796.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches243
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.9%25.4%–36.9% CI
Draw FT36.6%30.8%–42.8% CI
Away FT32.5%26.9%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away54.3%