Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 20:00
11.3371.8%
X5.4517.5%
28.9910.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WWWWDWDDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Le Havre
WDLLDDLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
10.80
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.60goals per matchLe Havre conceded1.50Matchup
Le Havre attack
0.90goals per matchParis SG conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
10.80
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
21.90
Match total
27.00
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.60
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.8%74.5%+2.7 pp
Draw17.5%16.8%-0.7 pp
Away10.6%8.7%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
2.30–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.9%
2-112.5%
2-09.6%
3-07.2%
1-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.62–3.26
Average total10.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.540.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%42.4%–68.0% CI
Draw FT37.0%25.4%–50.4% CI
Away FT7.4%2.9%–17.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.5%
Away29.6%