Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-26 · 20:00
12.0247.5%
X3.5626.9%
23.7525.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LDDDDLWDLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Nantes
LLLLDWWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.00
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.30goals per match
Nantes conceded1.40
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.80goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
28.80
Match total
23.60

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.60
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches691
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%45.0%-2.5 pp
Draw26.9%28.7%+1.7 pp
Away25.6%26.3%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.511.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
1-010.3%
2-19.3%
0-08.7%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.47
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=691.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%28.8%–41.5% CI
Draw FT41.5%35.1%–48.2% CI
Away FT23.6%18.4%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away43.4%