Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 20:00
12.2841.9%
X3.5926.6%
23.0331.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WWWLLDLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lille
DDWDLDLLWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.20
Against
4.60
11.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.20goals per match
Lille conceded1.00
Matchup

Lille attack

0.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.60
11.20
Match total
10.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
6.60
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches426
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%40.8%-1.0 pp
Draw26.6%26.1%-0.5 pp
Away31.5%33.1%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.521.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.9%
1-08.5%
2-18.2%
2-27.5%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.64
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=425.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%27.7%–45.3% CI
Draw FT39.6%31.0%–48.9% CI
Away FT24.3%17.3%–33.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away46.8%