Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 20:00
12.2841.9%
X3.5926.6%
23.0331.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monaco
WWWLLDLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lille
DDWDLDLLWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.20
Against
4.60
11.20
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monaco attack
1.20goals per matchLille conceded1.00Matchup
Lille attack
0.80goals per matchMonaco conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.60
11.20
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.40
Match total
25.80
Shots
18.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
6.60
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches426
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%40.8%-1.0 pp
Draw26.6%26.1%-0.5 pp
Away31.5%33.1%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS58.0%
Historical average
1.52–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-19.9%
1-08.5%
2-18.2%
2-27.5%
1-27.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.43–4.64
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=425.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%27.7%–45.3% CI
Draw FT39.6%31.0%–48.9% CI
Away FT24.3%17.3%–33.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals21.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.9%
Away46.8%