Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 20:00
12.2342.8%
X3.4227.9%
23.2729.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DWWWDDDWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Nice
WDLLLDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
9.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Nice conceded1.00
Matchup

Nice attack

0.60goals per match
Marseille conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
9.40
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.10
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.40
Match total
25.20

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.30
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,062
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%41.8%-1.0 pp
Draw27.9%28.9%+1.0 pp
Away29.2%29.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.451.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-010.4%
2-19.4%
0-18.1%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.43
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,062.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches323
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.1%28.2%–38.4% CI
Draw FT38.7%33.6%–44.1% CI
Away FT28.2%23.5%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away45.2%