Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 18:00
17.4512.8%
X5.2918.0%
21.3869.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
WDLLLDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Paris SG
WWWDWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.30
1.70
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.40
Against
6.20
10.10
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.30
1.70
Goals conceded
0.60
2.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.20goals per matchParis SG conceded0.60Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.30goals per matchLorient conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.20
10.10
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
25.60
Match total
22.00
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.80
On target
5.60
12%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.8%9.6%-3.2 pp
Draw18.0%17.3%-0.7 pp
Away69.2%73.1%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.548.1%
BTTS59.6%
Historical average
0.90–2.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-213.5%
1-311.5%
1-29.6%
1-19.6%
0-47.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.62–6.58
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals31.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away75.0%