Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 18:00
17.4512.8%
X5.2918.0%
21.3869.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
WDLLLDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Paris SG
WWWDWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.30
1.70
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.40
Against
6.20
10.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.30
1.70
Goals conceded
0.60
2.90
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.20goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.60
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.30goals per match
Lorient conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.20
10.10
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
25.60
Match total
22.00

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.80
On target
5.60
12%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.8%9.6%-3.2 pp
Draw18.0%17.3%-0.7 pp
Away69.2%73.1%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.548.1%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

0.902.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.5%
1-311.5%
1-29.6%
1-19.6%
0-47.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.626.58
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away75.0%