Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 20:00
11.4864.5%
X4.9719.2%
25.8516.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWWWDWDDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Lyon
WLLWLWWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
4.70
10.10
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.50goals per match
Lyon conceded1.40
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.70goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.70
10.10
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.10
Match total
23.30

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.40
On target
4.90
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.5%65.3%+0.8 pp
Draw19.2%21.3%+2.1 pp
Away16.3%13.3%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.544.0%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

2.360.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.7%
3-010.7%
4-09.3%
3-19.3%
1-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.833.61
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away41.7%