Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 18:00
12.7734.4%
X3.3128.8%
22.5936.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
LDDLLLWWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Marseille
LLDWDLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.60
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.10goals per match
Marseille conceded1.40
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.20goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.20
Match total
27.20

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches616
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%33.0%-1.5 pp
Draw28.8%27.9%-0.9 pp
Away36.8%39.1%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.251.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-111.5%
1-09.7%
2-18.1%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.135.04
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=616.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches191
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.8%23.8%–36.7% CI
Draw FT36.1%29.6%–43.1% CI
Away FT34.0%27.7%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away53.4%