Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 14:00
11.6159.3%
X4.0323.7%
25.6117.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WDWDWWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Strasbourg
DLDWDDLDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.30
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Lille attack

2.30goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.30
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.30goals per match
Lille conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
28.10
Match total
26.90

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
7.10
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches271
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%59.0%-0.3 pp
Draw23.7%25.1%+1.4 pp
Away17.0%15.9%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.950.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.7%
1-113.7%
0-18.5%
1-08.1%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.70
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=271.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.3%32.0%–53.4% CI
Draw FT32.1%22.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT25.6%17.3%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals51.3%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.3%
Away52.6%