Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 20:00
11.3968.6%
X4.8019.9%
28.2711.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWLWLWLD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Clermont
DDLLWLLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
7.70
9.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.80goals per match
Clermont conceded1.60
Matchup

Clermont attack

0.60goals per match
Lens conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.70
9.70
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
24.30
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches166
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.6%66.9%-1.7 pp
Draw19.9%21.1%+1.2 pp
Away11.5%12.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

2.060.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.1%
1-012.7%
2-011.4%
1-19.0%
2-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.113.07
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.7%44.3%–71.7% CI
Draw FT28.3%17.3%–42.5% CI
Away FT13.0%6.1%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.1%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals26.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.6%
Away39.1%