Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 20:00
11.3968.6%
X4.8019.9%
28.2711.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
WWWWLWLWLD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Clermont
DDLLWLLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
7.70
9.70
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
1.80goals per matchClermont conceded1.60Matchup
Clermont attack
0.60goals per matchLens conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.70
9.70
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
24.30
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches166
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.6%66.9%-1.7 pp
Draw19.9%21.1%+1.2 pp
Away11.5%12.0%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
2.06–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.1%
1-012.7%
2-011.4%
1-19.0%
2-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
7.11–3.07
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.7%44.3%–71.7% CI
Draw FT28.3%17.3%–42.5% CI
Away FT13.0%6.1%–25.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.74
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.1%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals26.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.6%
Away39.1%