Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 16:00
13.0331.5%
X3.3128.9%
22.4139.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
LDWLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Rennes
LLDWWWDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.90
Against
3.90
11.30
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.40goals per match
Rennes conceded1.30
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.00goals per match
Nantes conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.40
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.90
11.30
Match total
6.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.40
Match total
26.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
3%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches536
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%29.7%-1.9 pp
Draw28.9%24.1%-4.8 pp
Away39.6%46.3%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.081.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
0-111.4%
1-010.4%
1-210.3%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.17
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=536.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches177
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.8%26.3%–40.0% CI
Draw FT32.8%26.3%–40.0% CI
Away FT34.5%27.9%–41.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away48.6%