Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 16:00
13.0331.5%
X3.3128.9%
22.4139.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nantes
LDWLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Rennes
LLDWWWDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.90
Against
3.90
11.30
Total
6.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nantes attack
0.40goals per matchRennes conceded1.30Matchup
Rennes attack
1.00goals per matchNantes conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.40
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.90
11.30
Match total
6.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.40
Match total
26.70
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
3%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches536
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%29.7%-1.9 pp
Draw28.9%24.1%-4.8 pp
Away39.6%46.3%+6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.08–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.9%
0-111.4%
1-010.4%
1-210.3%
0-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–5.17
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=536.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches177
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.8%26.3%–40.0% CI
Draw FT32.8%26.3%–40.0% CI
Away FT34.5%27.9%–41.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals16.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.7%
Away48.6%