Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-19 · 20:00
11.5661.4%
X4.2122.8%
26.0615.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WWWWWWLDLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lorient
LLDLLWWWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.40
Against
5.40
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.30goals per match
Lorient conceded1.70
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Nice conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.40
8.60
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.40
Match total
26.00

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.50
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches345
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.4%57.4%-4.0 pp
Draw22.8%24.6%+1.9 pp
Away15.8%18.0%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.830.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-011.0%
2-010.7%
2-18.7%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.363.61
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=345.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.6%33.4%–52.3% CI
Draw FT32.7%24.3%–42.3% CI
Away FT24.8%17.4%–34.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.2%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals16.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away49.5%