Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 19:45
12.2442.6%
X3.3228.7%
23.3228.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
LDLWWLWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Brest
LLWWWDDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Against
4.20
9.50
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.10goals per match
Brest conceded0.80
Matchup

Brest attack

1.30goals per match
Lyon conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.20
9.50
Match total
7.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.90
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.00
Match total
26.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.00
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%41.6%-0.9 pp
Draw28.7%29.7%+1.0 pp
Away28.7%28.6%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.441.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-010.5%
2-110.0%
0-17.9%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.43
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches339
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.1%30.2%–40.3% CI
Draw FT38.6%33.6%–43.9% CI
Away FT26.3%21.9%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.3%
Away44.0%