Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 12:00
12.5537.5%
X3.0431.4%
23.0731.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Le Havre
LDDLWWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Nantes
WLLLLDWWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Le Havre attack

0.80goals per match
Nantes conceded1.50
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Le Havre conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
9.00
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.40
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches318
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%42.5%+5.0 pp
Draw31.4%30.2%-1.2 pp
Away31.1%27.4%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.241.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.6%
1-112.6%
0-012.3%
2-112.3%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.10
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=318.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.540.6%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.522.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.9%26.1%–42.6% CI
Draw FT45.2%36.7%–53.9% CI
Away FT21.0%14.7%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away43.5%