Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-12 · 20:00
14.9519.4%
X3.8424.9%
21.7255.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
LDWLLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Lens
DDWDLWWDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.60
0.80
2H goals
1.00
50%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
3.70
8.80
Total
7.90
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.50
2.20
Total goals
1.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Metz attack

0.80goals per match
Lens conceded0.50
Matchup

Lens attack

1.10goals per match
Metz conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.70
8.80
Match total
7.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.00
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.60
Match total
26.00

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%19.4%+0.0 pp
Draw24.9%26.6%+1.6 pp
Away55.7%54.1%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

0.991.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-112.2%
0-29.5%
1-29.5%
1-38.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.86
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.9%15.3%–35.3% CI
Draw FT34.3%24.1%–46.3% CI
Away FT41.8%30.7%–53.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.3%
Away58.2%