Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-12 · 20:00
14.9519.4%
X3.8424.9%
21.7255.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Metz
LDWLLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Lens
DDWDLWWDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.60
0.80
2H goals
1.00
50%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
3.70
8.80
Total
7.90
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.50
2.20
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Metz attack
0.80goals per matchLens conceded0.50Matchup
Lens attack
1.10goals per matchMetz conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.70
8.80
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.00
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.60
Match total
26.00
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%19.4%+0.0 pp
Draw24.9%26.6%+1.6 pp
Away55.7%54.1%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
0.99–1.68
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
0-112.2%
0-29.5%
1-29.5%
1-38.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.95–5.86
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.9%15.3%–35.3% CI
Draw FT34.3%24.1%–46.3% CI
Away FT41.8%30.7%–53.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.3%
Away58.2%