Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 19:45
13.2129.7%
X3.3228.8%
22.3041.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
WLDWLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Lyon
LWLLWLWWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
4.30
11.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
1.80
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.50goals per match
Lyon conceded1.50
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.40goals per match
Nantes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.30
11.00
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.30
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.10
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.50
4%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches668
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%26.9%-2.8 pp
Draw28.8%26.5%-2.3 pp
Away41.5%46.6%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.041.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
0-111.5%
1-210.6%
1-010.2%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.615.11
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=668.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches219
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.5%21.1%–32.7% CI
Draw FT38.8%32.6%–45.4% CI
Away FT34.7%28.7%–41.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.0%
Away51.1%