Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 14:00
11.7953.3%
X3.8724.7%
24.3422.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
DLDDDDLWDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Lorient
DLLDLLWWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.10goals per matchLorient conceded1.80Matchup
Lorient attack
1.30goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
28.50
Match total
26.30
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.20
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%57.4%+4.0 pp
Draw24.7%22.6%-2.0 pp
Away22.0%20.0%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS57.0%
Historical average
1.85–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
2-010.5%
1-010.5%
2-110.2%
1-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.17–4.04
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%41.6%–63.5% CI
Draw FT27.6%18.8%–38.6% CI
Away FT19.7%12.3%–30.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals61.8%
3+ goals28.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.7%
Away50.0%