Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 14:00
11.7953.3%
X3.8724.7%
24.3422.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
DLDDDDLWDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Lorient
DLLDLLWWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.10goals per match
Lorient conceded1.80
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.30goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
28.50
Match total
26.30

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.20
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%57.4%+4.0 pp
Draw24.7%22.6%-2.0 pp
Away22.0%20.0%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.851.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-010.5%
1-010.5%
2-110.2%
1-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.174.04
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%41.6%–63.5% CI
Draw FT27.6%18.8%–38.6% CI
Away FT19.7%12.3%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals61.8%
3+ goals28.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.7%
Away50.0%