Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 12:00
11.5262.8%
X4.0123.8%
27.1013.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
DLWDWWDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Metz
LDWLLLDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.90
Against
6.50
6.70
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.60goals per match
Metz conceded1.70
Matchup

Metz attack

1.00goals per match
Brest conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.50
6.70
Match total
10.70
20%2/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.90
Match total
24.00

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%73.5%+10.8 pp
Draw23.8%20.6%-3.2 pp
Away13.4%5.9%-7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

2.060.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.7%
1-015.7%
2-012.7%
2-112.7%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.563.32
Average total8.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.528.4%
Over 11.514.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.7%42.4%–76.4% CI
Draw FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Away FT10.7%3.7%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away32.1%