Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 19:45
13.2929.0%
X3.8125.1%
22.0845.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WDWWWDDDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Paris SG
WWWWDWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.40
0.60
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.10
Against
5.80
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.40
0.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.00goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.70
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.40goals per match
Marseille conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.80
9.30
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.00
Match total
2.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.80
Match total
22.90

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.90
On target
6.00
15%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%35.5%+6.5 pp
Draw25.1%23.4%-1.7 pp
Away45.9%41.1%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS68.2%

Historical average

1.681.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.3%
2-19.3%
1-37.5%
0-27.5%
2-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.32
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Draw FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Away FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.3%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away57.1%