Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 14:00
13.1130.6%
X3.3228.7%
22.3440.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Clermont
DLWLDLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Toulouse
LDLDLLWWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Against
5.40
8.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Clermont attack

0.70goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.50
Matchup

Toulouse attack

0.90goals per match
Clermont conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.40
8.40
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
26.20
Match total
30.70

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches673
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%28.8%-1.8 pp
Draw28.7%24.2%-4.5 pp
Away40.7%47.0%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.101.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-112.0%
1-210.0%
1-09.4%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.835.27
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=673.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches215
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.1%26.2%–38.6% CI
Draw FT32.1%26.2%–38.6% CI
Away FT35.8%29.7%–42.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away55.8%