Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 12:00
13.9324.3%
X3.3728.3%
22.0147.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
LWDLLLDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Brest
DLLWWWDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.30
Against
4.20
10.20
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.20goals per matchBrest conceded0.80Matchup
Brest attack
1.20goals per matchLorient conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.20
10.20
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.90
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.70
Match total
25.60
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.60
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches191
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%26.2%+1.9 pp
Draw28.3%26.2%-2.1 pp
Away47.4%47.6%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
0.94–1.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.7%
1-013.1%
0-110.5%
0-09.4%
1-29.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.34–5.15
Average total9.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=191.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.0%14.9%–33.7% CI
Draw FT44.6%33.8%–55.9% CI
Away FT32.4%22.9%–43.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.4%
Away52.7%