Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 20:00
12.0945.9%
X3.3728.4%
23.7325.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
LWWDWDWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Lens
WDDWDLWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
10%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.30
Against
3.40
9.30
Total
7.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
0.30
2.60
Total goals
1.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
2.00goals per matchLens conceded0.30Matchup
Lens attack
1.10goals per matchLille conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.40
9.30
Match total
7.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
26.80
Match total
26.10
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.60
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches504
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%43.8%-2.0 pp
Draw28.4%31.2%+2.7 pp
Away25.7%25.0%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.41–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.7%
2-110.9%
1-010.7%
0-09.3%
0-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.31–4.30
Average total9.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=504.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.1%27.5%–41.3% CI
Draw FT38.0%31.2%–45.3% CI
Away FT27.9%21.9%–34.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals13.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.3%
Away45.8%