Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 19:45
15.5217.2%
X4.6320.6%
21.5362.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
WDLDDDDLWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Paris SG
DWWWWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.50
2.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.20goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.50
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.80goals per match
Montpellier conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
11.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.80
Match total
2.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
29.10
Match total
23.40

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.10
On target
6.10
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.2%9.3%-8.0 pp
Draw20.6%20.4%-0.2 pp
Away62.2%70.4%+8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS40.7%

Historical average

0.651.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.5%
0-214.8%
1-113.0%
0-311.1%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.246.15
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away78.9%