Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 19:45
15.5217.2%
X4.6320.6%
21.5362.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
WDLDDDDLWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Paris SG
DWWWWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.50
2.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.20goals per matchParis SG conceded0.50Matchup
Paris SG attack
1.80goals per matchMontpellier conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.80
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
29.10
Match total
23.40
Shots
17.60N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.10
On target
6.10
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.2%9.3%-8.0 pp
Draw20.6%20.4%-0.2 pp
Away62.2%70.4%+8.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS40.7%
Historical average
0.65–1.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.5%
0-214.8%
1-113.0%
0-311.1%
1-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.24–6.15
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.524.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.8%
Away78.9%