Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 16:05
12.4838.4%
X3.4527.6%
22.8034.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rennes
WLDLWLWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Marseille
LLLLDWDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.00
10.10
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rennes attack
1.70goals per matchMarseille conceded1.60Matchup
Marseille attack
1.30goals per matchRennes conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.00
10.10
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.00
Match total
27.70
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches379
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%40.9%+2.5 pp
Draw27.6%23.7%-3.9 pp
Away34.0%35.4%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
1.37–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
1-211.6%
1-011.3%
2-19.5%
0-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.50
Average total9.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=379.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.527.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%31.5%–50.0% CI
Draw FT29.8%21.9%–39.2% CI
Away FT29.8%21.9%–39.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.6%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals20.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.5%
Away52.9%