Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 14:00
11.5661.1%
X4.1023.2%
26.0915.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
WLWLWWDLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Metz
LLDWLLLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reims attack

1.00goals per match
Metz conceded1.80
Matchup

Metz attack

0.90goals per match
Reims conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.00
Match total
23.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%59.2%-1.9 pp
Draw23.2%24.5%+1.2 pp
Away15.7%16.3%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS43.3%

Historical average

1.790.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
2-012.1%
1-112.1%
3-08.2%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.74
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%38.5%–57.7% CI
Draw FT29.0%21.0%–38.5% CI
Away FT23.0%15.8%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.0%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.0%
Away42.0%