Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 14:00
11.5661.1%
X4.1023.2%
26.0915.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reims
WLWLWWDLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Metz
LLDWLLLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reims attack
1.00goals per matchMetz conceded1.80Matchup
Metz attack
0.90goals per matchReims conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.00
Match total
23.00
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%59.2%-1.9 pp
Draw23.2%24.5%+1.2 pp
Away15.7%16.3%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS43.3%
Historical average
1.79–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.5%
2-012.1%
1-112.1%
3-08.2%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–3.74
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%38.5%–57.7% CI
Draw FT29.0%21.0%–38.5% CI
Away FT23.0%15.8%–32.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.0%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals18.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.0%
Away42.0%