Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 12:00
12.5737.1%
X3.1230.6%
22.9532.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WDLWDWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Lille
WDDWDLDLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.70
Against
4.90
7.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.10
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.60goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Matchup

Lille attack

0.90goals per match
Brest conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.90
7.20
Match total
10.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
27.10
Match total
26.10

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.50
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches543
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%34.3%-2.9 pp
Draw30.6%35.7%+5.2 pp
Away32.3%30.0%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.3%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.081.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.3%
1-013.6%
0-012.0%
0-19.9%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.904.65
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=543.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches204
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.9%23.1%–35.5% CI
Draw FT48.0%41.3%–54.9% CI
Away FT23.0%17.8%–29.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away43.1%