Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 20:00
12.0347.2%
X3.4128.1%
23.8824.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WDWWWWLWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Nice
WWWDLLLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
3.80
9.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.90goals per match
Nice conceded0.90
Matchup

Nice attack

0.50goals per match
Lens conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.80
9.80
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.00
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.40
On target
4.70
14%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches850
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.2%49.4%+2.2 pp
Draw28.1%26.8%-1.3 pp
Away24.7%23.8%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.490.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
1-112.8%
2-110.7%
2-09.3%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.23
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=850.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches272
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.2%32.7%–44.1% CI
Draw FT38.6%33.0%–44.5% CI
Away FT23.2%18.5%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away39.3%