Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 20:00
12.8533.7%
X3.2629.4%
22.6036.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
WDLDDLLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lyon
LLWLLWLWWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.30
Against
4.80
11.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.30goals per match
Lyon conceded1.40
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.10goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.80
11.20
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.00
Match total
2.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.90
Match total
24.70

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.40
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches615
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%30.7%-2.9 pp
Draw29.4%27.5%-2.0 pp
Away36.9%41.8%+4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.141.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.0%
1-112.8%
1-08.9%
0-08.1%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.90
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=615.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.1%20.5%–32.6% CI
Draw FT36.5%30.1%–43.3% CI
Away FT37.4%31.1%–44.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.9%
Away54.7%