Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 20:00
12.8533.7%
X3.2629.4%
22.6036.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Toulouse
WDLDDLLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lyon
LLWLLWLWWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.30
Against
4.80
11.20
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.30goals per matchLyon conceded1.40Matchup
Lyon attack
1.10goals per matchToulouse conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.80
11.20
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.00
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.90
Match total
24.70
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.40
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches615
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%30.7%-2.9 pp
Draw29.4%27.5%-2.0 pp
Away36.9%41.8%+4.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.14–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.0%
1-112.8%
1-08.9%
0-08.1%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.90
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=615.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.1%20.5%–32.6% CI
Draw FT36.5%30.1%–43.3% CI
Away FT37.4%31.1%–44.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.9%
Away54.7%