Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
111.458.3%
X7.0913.5%
21.2278.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Troyes
LDLLDDLLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Lille
DLWLDWLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.40N=10
7.00
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Troyes attack

0.80goals per match
Lille conceded1.00
Matchup

Lille attack

1.00goals per match
Troyes conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
7.00
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.60
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
20.70
Match total
26.80

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.20
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.3%11.1%+2.8 pp
Draw13.5%0.0%-13.5 pp
Away78.2%88.9%+10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

0.723.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-222.2%
0-311.1%
0-511.1%
0-111.1%
2-35.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.117.78
Average total10.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.8%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.561.1%
Over 11.555.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals42.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away85.7%