Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
12.3640.5%
X3.9224.4%
22.7235.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WWWDDDLLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lyon
DWWLWDWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
10.10
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.50goals per match
Lyon conceded1.10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.80goals per match
Nice conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
10.10
Match total
7.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.20
Match total
4.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
22.00
Match total
29.50

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.90
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%42.9%+2.4 pp
Draw24.4%7.1%-17.2 pp
Away35.1%50.0%+14.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.578.6%
Over 3.557.1%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.641.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.3%
0-214.3%
0-47.1%
1-37.1%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.576.36
Average total11.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.585.7%
Over 9.578.6%
Over 10.564.3%
Over 11.557.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Draw FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Away FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals54.8%
3+ goals29.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away54.8%