Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
11.3670.0%
X5.2818.0%
27.9512.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
DLWLDLDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Angers
LLDLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
2.70
50%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.00
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
5.80
12.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
2.70
2.40
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.70goals per match
Angers conceded2.70
Matchup

Angers attack

0.70goals per match
Nantes conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.80
12.20
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.80
Match total
25.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
4.80
On target
2.40
5%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%75.0%+5.0 pp
Draw18.0%15.3%-2.8 pp
Away12.0%9.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

2.400.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.6%
3-012.5%
2-011.1%
1-09.7%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.013.56
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%39.6%–70.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%20.2%–49.7% CI
Away FT11.1%4.4%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away19.4%