Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
11.4665.4%
X5.0418.9%
26.0915.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WWWWLLWWLD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Toulouse
WWLLWLWWDD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
4.70
8.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.10goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.00
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.40goals per match
Monaco conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.70
8.10
Match total
8.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.50
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.4%71.2%+5.8 pp
Draw18.9%22.0%+3.1 pp
Away15.7%6.8%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

2.320.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-116.9%
1-113.6%
2-111.9%
1-010.2%
3-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.41
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Draw FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Away FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away36.0%