Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
12.9632.2%
X3.5626.8%
22.3241.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
DWDWLWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Strasbourg
WLLDDLLWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
8.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.20goals per matchStrasbourg conceded1.60Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.40goals per matchLorient conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
8.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
25.70
Match total
29.60
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches246
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%30.1%-2.1 pp
Draw26.8%31.7%+4.9 pp
Away41.1%38.2%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS58.9%
Historical average
1.26–1.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
2-29.3%
2-18.9%
1-28.1%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–4.95
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.4%16.7%–36.6% CI
Draw FT40.8%30.2%–52.5% CI
Away FT33.8%23.9%–45.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.8%
Away54.9%