Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
12.7934.1%
X3.5726.7%
22.4339.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
LLDWDWWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lens
DDDLDWWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
8.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.80goals per match
Lens conceded1.10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.60goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
8.60
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
26.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
4.20
On target
5.70
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%25.9%-8.2 pp
Draw26.7%34.8%+8.1 pp
Away39.2%39.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.261.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
2-29.8%
1-28.9%
2-18.0%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.73
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Draw FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Away FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.0%
Away44.0%