Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
18.3211.5%
X5.3817.8%
21.3570.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajaccio
LLLWLLLDDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Marseille
WWWWWWDWLL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.20
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.60
Against
4.30
7.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
0.80
1.90
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.20goals per match
Marseille conceded0.80
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.60goals per match
Ajaccio conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.30
7.00
Match total
9.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
30.00
Match total
26.70

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
2.20
On target
4.40
2%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%10.1%-1.3 pp
Draw17.8%20.3%+2.5 pp
Away70.8%69.6%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.539.1%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

0.872.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.0%
1-210.1%
1-110.1%
0-38.7%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.127.04
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away66.7%